Is intel stock overvalued?
Intel (INTC, Financial), with a current price of $48 per share, appears to be significantly overvalued according to the GF Value. This suggests that the long-term return of Intel's stock might not align with its future business growth. Link: These companies may deliver higher future returns at reduced risk.
Gus Richard, the chip analyst at Northland Securities, argues that the stock remains significantly undervalued. He recently set a price target of $68, more than 30% above the current level, making him Wall Street's biggest Intel bull.
Conclusion. In summary, Intel Corp (INTC, Financial) appears to be significantly overvalued based on its current market price versus its GF Value. While the company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is strong, its growth and efficiency in generating returns on capital are concerning.
Intel stock is attractive right now
Intel currently trades at 3.7 times sales, which is slightly higher than the stock's five-year sales multiple of 2.8. However, the recent pullback has brought down its forward sales multiple to just under 3.
The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices. The Motley Fool recommends Intel and recommends the following options: long January 2023 $57.50 calls on Intel, long January 2025 $45 calls on Intel, and short February 2024 $47 calls on Intel.
It slashed its dividend payment, has been exiting business lines it has deemed non-strategic to its core business to whittle down expenses, and has been selling some other business units to raise cash, including selling more stock in its auto-chip design subsidiary MobilEye (NASDAQ: MBLY).
Future Growth
Intel is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 58.3% and 9.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 58.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.5% in 3 years.
Part of what dragged the semiconductor company down was the stock market's broader decline to start the year. A Wall Street analyst also added fuel to the fire. Despite issuing a higher price target, the analyst doesn't view Intel as one of a select group of "attractive" chip stocks.
Over this time, AMD has gained a technical lead, taking market share from Intel in the client and data center spaces. Given those advances, it will surprise few that AMD stock has dramatically outperformed Intel over the last five years.
Intel has a volatility of 2.46 and is 3.42 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 21 of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Intel. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Intel is lower than 21 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days.
Will Intel stock ever go back up?
Intel stock has been in the red over the past three years, but 2023 brought a welcome change with impressive gains. The chipmaker is expected to return to growth from 2024 thanks to various tailwinds. Intel stock could do well over the next three years if it can deliver the growth that analysts are expecting from it.
Intel certainly wasn't the king of AI chip makers in 2023. Yet, there's room for Intel to improve and grow in this area, especially now that the company has unveiled new chips for servers, PCs and more. First, Intel revealed a new lineup of Core Ultra processors for laptops at the company's AI Everywhere event.
Stock | 2023 Performance* |
---|---|
1. Jin Medical International Ltd. (ticker: ZJYL) | 3,020.1% |
2. Soleno Therapeutics Inc. (SLNO) | 1,932.8% |
3. Carvana Co. (CVNA) | 1,016.9% |
4. Cipher Mining Inc. (CIFR) | 637.5% |
Stock Price Forecast
The 34 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Intel Corp have a median target of 43.00, with a high estimate of 68.00 and a low estimate of 17.00. The median estimate represents a -10.86% decrease from the last price of 48.24.
Intel stock is falling after Texas Instruments issued worrying fourth-quarter guidance. Intel and Texas Instruments operate in different quarters of the semiconductor industry. But cyclical trends can have significant impacts across the industry.
According to the Traders Union long-term price forecast Intel (INTC) can reach 55.96 USD by 2025, 91.99 USD by 2030, 136.9 USD by 2034.
Valuation metrics show that Intel Corporation may be overvalued. Its Value Score of D indicates it would be a bad pick for value investors. The financial health and growth prospects of INTC, demonstrate its potential to underperform the market. It currently has a Growth Score of F.
The highest analyst price target is $68.00 ,the lowest forecast is $17.00. The average price target represents -1.20% Decrease from the current price of $46.01. Intel's analyst rating consensus is a Hold. This is based on the ratings of 30 Wall Streets Analysts.
Despite mixed performance in the past along with all the execution risks, Intel Corporation has more than enough opportunities to create value in the long run. However, it will likely take a couple of years for Intel to fully execute its transformation strategy and be able to unlock its business potential.
Intel stock price stood at $48.15
According to the latest long-term forecast, Intel price will hit $75 by the end of 2024 and then $90 by the end of 2025. Intel will rise to $100 within the year of 2026, $110 in 2027, $125 in 2028 and $150 in 2030.
How many times a year does Intel pay dividends?
dividend is expected to go ex in 1 month and to be paid in 2 months. The previous Intel Corp. dividend was 12.5c and it went ex 2 months ago and it was paid 1 month ago. There are typically 4 dividends per year (excluding specials), and the dividend cover is approximately 2.1.
Intel failed to excite the stock market over the past five years because of its poor financial performance, which can be attributed to the company's market share losses to Advanced Micro Devices (AMD -3.47%) and its inability to capitalize on hot tech trends such as gaming graphics cards and consoles.
Projected 2030 stock prices for Intel
Our predicted prices for Intel stock in 2030 are $136 (base), $186 (bull), and $109 (bear).
At the heart of Intel's problems are two things: 1) Its last CEO lacked board oversight and crippled the company; and 2) Lack of focus — it is torn between initiatives and has overcut expenses and employees, resulting in a clear inability to execute.
We have an ongoing authorization (originally approved by our Board of Directors in 2005 and subsequently amended) to repurchase shares of our common stock in open market or negotiated transactions. As of September 30th, 2023, we were authorized to repurchase up to $110.0 billion, of which $7.2 billion remain available.
References
- https://primexbt.com/for-traders/s-p-500-price-prediction-forecast/
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/calculator/investment-calculator
- https://www.zacks.com/stock/research/INTC/stock-style-scores
- https://tools.carboncollective.co/future-value/1000-in-20-years/
- https://www.gurufocus.com/news/2125609/intel-intcs-market-valuation-a-scrutiny-of-its-overpriced-shares
- https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-how-to-be-a-millionaire-with-stocks-no-matter-what-you-have-now/
- https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/chinas-stock-market-rout-has-become-a-political-problem-f41ec826
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/6-top-tips-turn-1-160012972.html
- https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/intc/forecast
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/10/25/why-intel-stock-is-sinking-today/
- https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/3-top-growth-stocks-buy-hold-2024-2
- https://www.fool.com/investing/how-to-invest/how-to-invest-100-dollars/
- https://tradersunion.com/currencies/forecast/intel/
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/11-stocks-rich-5-10-120121544.html
- https://www.stash.com/learn/how-to-invest-in-sp500-2/
- https://www.amazon.com/Stock-Market-Outsider-Billionaire-Practical/dp/0991492803
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-intel-stock-slumped-tuesday-211227537.html
- https://www.bankrate.com/investing/stock-market-outlook/
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fastest-ways-become-rich-investing-120025750.html
- https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-november-is-the-best-month-stocks-rally-every-time/
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_S%26P_500
- https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/got-%24500-a-month-to-invest-heres-how-the-sp-500-could-make-you-a-millionaire
- https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/sp-500-index-forecast-for-2024:-investors-eye-6100-in-bullish-outlook
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/12/13/is-it-too-late-to-invest-in-the-sp-500/
- https://lyonswealth.com/blog-details/how-much-money-do-i-need-to-invest-to-make-3000
- https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/041315/what-are-pros-and-cons-using-sp-500-benchmark.asp
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/12/08/where-will-intel-stock-be-in-3-years/
- https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/4-predictions-for-the-stock-market-in-2024-and-which-stocks-will-soar-the-most-if-theyre
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/09/factors-drive-investment-in-china.asp
- https://www.macroaxis.com/volatility/INTC/Intel
- https://seekingalpha.com/article/4607109-intel-not-all-hope-is-lost-yet
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Stock_Exchange
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/better-semiconductor-stock-amd-vs-111500264.html
- https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=intc
- https://eightify.app/summary/finance-and-economics/s-p-500-price-prediction-2030-doubling-expected-prepare-for-market-turbulence
- https://www.fool.com/the-ascent/buying-stocks/articles/heres-what-happens-when-you-only-invest-in-sp-500-etfs/
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-jump-5000-2024-130000088.html
- https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/stock-market-forecast-2024/
- https://www.smallcase.com/collections/what-are-growth-stocks/
- https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/best-performing-stocks-of-the-year
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/markets/071616/history-sp-500-dividend-yield.asp
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-23/china-selloff-leads-to-record-38-trillion-gap-with-us-stocks
- https://www.dividendmax.com/united-states/nasdaq/technology-hardware-and-equipment/intel-corp/dividends
- https://www.bankrate.com/investing/ways-to-double-your-money/
- https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/from-survival-to-revival:-intel-stocks-comeback-is-underway
- https://www.barrons.com/articles/intel-stock-price-nvda-amd-5754f6c8
- https://www.fisherinvestments.com/en-us/insights/market-commentary/more-bull-market-in-store-for-2024
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/01/10/will-intel-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/
- https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/how-to-invest-in-sp-500/
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/intel-stock-buy-now-104500971.html
- https://www.fidelity.ca/en/insights/articles/pull-money-or-keep-investing/
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/what-is-sp-500
- https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-intel-stock-nearly-doubled-in-2023
- https://www.usatoday.com/money/blueprint/investing/stock-market-forecast-next-6-months/
- https://www.technewsworld.com/story/why-intel-is-in-such-horrid-condition-85813.html
- https://247wallst.com/investing/2024/01/22/intel-intc-stock-price-prediction-in-2030-bull-base-bear-forecasts/
- https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/22/as-sp-500-enters-bull-market-heres-what-to-know-before-you-invest.html
- https://www.cityindex.com/en-uk/news-and-analysis/sp-500-analysis-winning-streak-stretches-to-7-weeks-why-that-could-be-a-bullish-sign/
- https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/how-far-will-%24100-per-month-go-by-investing-in-the-sp-500
- https://www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com/when-do-you-sell-a-stock/
- https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/01/22/business/magnificent-seven-stocks-tech.html
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/08/is-it-really-safe-invest-in-the-sp-500-right-now/
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/09/20/is-intel-stock-really-cheap-right-now/
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/how-to-invest-in-sp500
- https://www.intc.com/stock-info/dividends-and-buybacks
- https://insight.factset.com/industry-analysts-predict-the-sp-500-will-close-above-5000-in-2024
- https://finimize.com/content/what-will-sp-500-return-over-next-10-years
- https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/15/the-sp-500-is-up-over-23percent-year-to-date-what-to-know-before-investing.html
- https://tools.carboncollective.co/future-value/100-in-5-years/
- https://coinpriceforecast.com/intc-stock
- https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/semiconductors/nasdaq-intc/intel/future
- https://tradethatswing.com/how-long-it-takes-to-make-money-day-trading-or-swing-trading-consistently/